Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.249598 0.293463 0.345666 0.413209 0.499534 0.607930 7.572418e-01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.206284 0.267384 0.350766 0.477168 0.672272 0.978021 1.531444e+00
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.170424 0.236804 0.337007 0.509129 0.821308 1.424262 2.889263e+00
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.142609 0.208381 0.315395 0.518114 0.938969 1.923522 5.186097e+00
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.120785 0.183161 0.290531 0.510128 1.019972 2.436752 8.915451e+00
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.108188 0.169907 0.282060 0.529632 1.175920 3.360430 1.878877e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.094875 0.152625 0.261595 0.515685 1.240065 4.111321 3.525690e+01
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.086437 0.142523 0.252576 0.524620 1.379919 5.484827 9.100226e+01
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.078244 0.131476 0.239149 0.517948 1.468357 6.882869 2.568211e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.072896 0.125044 0.234119 0.531722 1.647299 9.561886 1.899964e+03
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.068876 0.120603 0.232508 0.554782 1.893109 14.245892 1.891472e+08
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.064770 0.115379 0.228027 0.567945 2.116186 20.773492 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.061243 0.111005 0.225030 0.586251 2.405438 32.898882 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.057902 0.106613 0.221232 0.601218 2.712276 54.186660 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.054711 0.102147 0.216440 0.611341 3.019453 92.414052 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.051431 0.097093 0.209224 0.609965 3.254736 153.356228 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048041 0.091423 0.199438 0.595199 3.368911 233.459616 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046203 0.089128 0.198558 0.617190 3.886251 650.344140 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.043323 0.084095 0.189174 0.599354 3.974708 1164.871753 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.041526 0.081459 0.186294 0.609974 4.436262 5301.410954 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.039378 0.077775 0.179802 0.601705 4.662474 28588.295689 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.038038 0.075929 0.178526 0.618491 5.320012 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.037038 0.074823 0.179338 0.646716 6.317048 NaN NaN